AFR, RedBridge Group and Accent Research September 2026 Victorian state poll

The fieldwork for this survey was conducted between Tuesday 1 September and Monday 14 September, 2026. The sample of N = 2,371 Victorian voters was recruited over online panel. Quotas for age, gender, location, education and vote at the 2025 federal election were used to ensure the sample is representative of the Victorian electorate.

Rim weighting was used to apply interlocking weights for age, gender, education, religion and location. The efficiency of these weights was 85 per cent, providing an effective sample size of 2,009. Based on this effective sample size, the margin of error (95 per cent confidence interval) for a 50 per cent result on the full sample is ± 2.2 per cent.

This is larger for subsets of the data, such as age or location, and results based on these and similar breakdowns should be interpreted conservatively.

Vote intention questions were located immediately after demographic items and other questions used for screening and quotas. Undecided respondents were asked a leaner question. Those who refused to or were unable to provide a vote intention in both the initial question and leaner made up nine per cent of the sample, and were excluded from published vote intention figures.

Questions are presented in the order they appeared in the survey.

The full report can accessed here: