AFR, RedBridge Group and Accent Research federal poll

The fieldwork for this survey was conducted between Friday 5 December and Friday 12 December. The sample of N = 1,012 Australian citizens aged 18 and older, and who are enrolled to vote, was recruited over online panel. Quotas for age, gender, location, education and vote at the 2025 federal election were used to ensure the sample is representative of the Australian electorate.

Rim weighting was used to apply interlocking weights for age, gender, education, religion and location.

The efficiency of these weights was 77 per cent, providing an effective sample size of 776.

All results are estimates and involve a margin of error. Based on the effective sample size, the margin of error (95 per cent confidence interval) for a 50 per cent result on the full sample from this survey is ± 3.5 per cent. This is larger for subsets of the data, such as age or location, and results based on these and similar breakdowns should be interpreted conservatively.

Vote intention questions were located immediately after demographic items and other questions used for screening and quotas. Undecided respondents were asked a leaner question. Those who refused to or were unable to provide a vote intention in both the initial question and leaner made up seven per cent of the sample, and were excluded from published vote intention figures. Two-party preferred results are based on preference flows from the 2025 federal election.

The full report can accessed here: