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Albanese government's promises to voters could be complicated by the uncertainty of its second term

Michelle Grattan

7 June 2024

Anthony Albanese recently told the Labor caucus his cabinet is preparing "an offer" to put to the Australian people at the election.

As it crafts its pitch, the biggest uncertainty looming over Labor is what sort of parliament a second-term Albanese government would likely face.

The general expectation is for Labor to be returned. (Caveat: expectations can be wrong – who can forget 2019?) The question is: would it be a majority or minority government?

A May analysis of "The political landscape a year from the 2025 election", prepared by the social and political research firms Accent Research and the RedBridge Group, concludes "a hung parliament or a Labor majority are almost equally likely outcomes" of the election.

Read the full story here.

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